Household net worth and the wealth effect. The top 10% own 90% of stocks and do half the spending; a bear market cuts consumption through this channel more than through jobs.
What to watch: Fed Z.1 net worth; stock and home values versus spending. It arrives quarterly, and the effect typically lasts months.
It sits in tier 2 — Directional: Moves the index for days or weeks. Scheduled data releases, policy decisions, global spillovers, and the prices of money and energy. This is the tier most professional attention is spent on.
Its neighbourhood
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Trends tracked by this
Also in Consumer and housing
- Retail sales
- Consumer confidence and sentiment
- Personal income, spending, and saving rate
- Consumer credit and delinquencies
- Housing starts and permits
- Existing and new home sales
- Home prices
- Mortgage rates and applications
- Household savings buffers
- Homeowners insurance availability and cost
- The K-shaped consumer
- Homebuilder sentiment and pending home sales
- Market rent indices
- Auto sales (SAAR) and inventories
- Restaurant same-store sales and hotel RevPAR
- Card-spending panels
- Retail gasoline prices
- Residential electricity prices
- Childcare and tuition inflation
- Pet spending and vet prices