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The Human Atlasby Eonira
Trend

Sports betting and prediction markets

Stage
Scaling
Horizon
2018–2032

Sports betting and prediction markets. Legal sports betting spreads state by state; event contracts on elections and the economy become a regulated product.

Scaling Compounding now. Evidence is visible in company results and data. Largest effect expected 2018–2032.

Second-order effects

A new source of young-male financial harm and a new price signal for policy; gaming revenue funds state budgets; prediction markets compete with polling and with equity options.

Reference — cftc.gov ↗

Its neighbourhood

Everything this entry connects to directly. Click any point to follow it.

Frictions it intensifies

These pressures get worse, or reach more people.

Solutions it accelerates

Sectors it reshapes

How to track it

If this trend is real, these are the numbers that will show it first.

Companies it favours