Analyst earnings revisions. The direction of estimate changes predicts returns better than the level; pre-announcement cuts are the "kitchen sink".
What to watch: Revisions breadth; forward EPS trajectory. It arrives weekly, and the effect typically lasts months.
It sits in tier 2 — Directional: Moves the index for days or weeks. Scheduled data releases, policy decisions, global spillovers, and the prices of money and energy. This is the tier most professional attention is spent on.
Its neighbourhood
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What moves it
Dials it feeds
This factor is one input to a composite reading on the Analytics page.
Also in Corporate fundamentals
- Aggregate earnings and guidance
- Corporate profit margins
- Capital expenditure plans
- Share buybacks
- Dividends and payout policy
- Hyperscaler capex, depreciation, and AI monetisation
- Healthcare cost inflation
- Hyperscaler cloud growth and backlog
- Software seat counts and net revenue retention
- App downloads, time spent, and ad load
- Advertising spend and ad prices
- Patent expirations and loss of exclusivity
- Box office, concert grosses, and ticket prices
- Sports betting handle and casino win
- Senior-living occupancy and care wages
- Death rates and cremation share
- Net equity supply
- Earnings dispersion between AI and non-AI cohorts