Global rearmament. European defence spending doubles; drones and autonomy replace platforms; space becomes a contested domain.
Scaling Compounding now. Evidence is visible in company results and data. Largest effect expected 2022–2035.
Second-order effects
Fiscal room for welfare shrinks as guns crowd out butter; a new venture-backed defence industry (Anduril, Shield AI) competes with primes; dual-use technology blurs the line between the sector and everything else.
Its neighbourhood
Everything this entry connects to directly. Click any point to follow it.
Frictions it intensifies
These pressures get worse, or reach more people.
Solutions it threatens
Sectors it reshapes
How to track it
If this trend is real, these are the numbers that will show it first.