UK inflation, gilts, and the Bank of England. The 2022 gilt crisis showed a mid-sized bond market can move global rates.
What to watch: CPI; gilt yields; BoE decisions. It arrives monthly, and the effect typically lasts weeks.
It sits in tier 3 — Flows and mechanics: Moves prices without changing anything fundamental, on horizons from hours to weeks. Who is forced to buy or sell, and when. Ignore this tier and market moves will regularly look inexplicable.
Its neighbourhood
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Also in Global markets and other central banks
- China growth and policy
- European Central Bank
- Bank of Japan and the yen carry trade
- People's Bank of China
- Bank of England and other central banks
- Eurozone growth and politics
- Emerging-market stress
- Sovereign credit ratings
- Japanese government bonds and fiscal stress
- China property slump and deflation export
- India growth and reform
- Eurozone inflation (HICP)
- German IFO and ZEW surveys
- Japan inflation, wages, and Tankan
- China PMIs and total social financing
- Korean and Taiwanese export data
- Canada and Australia rates and housing
- India inflation and RBI policy
- European fiscal policy and joint debt